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Goldman Sachs: "According to our basic forecast, the tanker freight will drop slightly in the next few years, but if the diversion of tankers in the Red Sea and Russia ends, the tanker freight will further drop by 30%."The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The Deputy Prime Minister of Iraq spoke to the UN Special Envoy for Syria. The two sides stressed that the previous settlement mechanism should be maintained. On December 10, local time, the Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Iraq, Fuad Hussein, telephoned the UN Secretary-General's Special Envoy for Syria, Pei Kairu. The two sides reviewed the current developments in Syria and analyzed its scope of influence, and discussed the possible consequences if the international community failed to take concrete actions. The two sides stressed that consultations should continue and the United Nations should play an active role in supporting the Syrian people and stabilizing the situation in the region. The two sides also stressed that the previous mechanism for resolving the Syrian conflict should be maintained and the consensus between the region and Arab countries should be brought into play to reach a plan to end the humanitarian crisis in Syria. (CCTV)

The Prime Minister of Qatar and the US Secretary of State discussed the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza by telephone. On December 10th, local time, the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar talked with the US Secretary of State Blinken by telephone, focusing on the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza and other regional issues. The two sides stated that it is necessary to promote an inclusive political process and achieve a peaceful transfer of power in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254. All parties in Syria should also strengthen efforts to protect civilians and fight terrorism. The two sides also exchanged views on the latest situation in the Gaza Strip and the progress of relevant negotiations.The FTSE A50 futures index closed down 0.05% at 13,569.000 points in a row.The Iraqi Prime Minister met with the commander of the US Central Command to discuss the situation in Syria and other issues. The Iraqi Prime Minister and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Sudani met with the commander of the US Central Command, michael curry Al-Ra, in Baghdad on December 10th. During the talks, the two sides discussed the cooperation and coordination between Iraq and the League of Nations in the fight against terrorism and extremism. Sudani emphasized that Iraq is an important member of the "League of Nations" and is committed to cooperating with the League to jointly crack down on and track down terrorist organizations in order to safeguard regional security and stability. Curilla emphasized that the League of Nations promised to support Iraq in safeguarding its security and sovereignty and resisting any terrorist threat. The two sides also discussed the latest progress of the situation in Syria and its lasting impact on the region. Sudani said that the Syrian people's free choice should be respected, and Iraq is willing to help the Syrian people in the current transitional stage. (CCTV)

EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the conflict situation: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops controlled the village of Zhovte in eastern Ukraine. 2. The governor said that Russian missiles attacked Ukraine, killing three people and injuring five others. 3. Russian President Vladimir Putin: A sufficient number of Hazelnut missiles will effectively eliminate the need to use nuclear weapons. Others: 1. The U.S. Treasury Department announced that it would allocate 20 billion U.S. dollars in loans to Ukraine. 2. According to the Tass news agency, Russia resumed passenger railway traffic with North Korea. 3. President of Ukraine: The current focus is not on lowering the age of conscription in Ukraine. 4. Kremlin: Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Indian Defense Minister. 5. The United States approved the sale of F-16 fighter maintenance services and related equipment to the Ukrainian government at a cost of $266.4 million. 6. Kremlin: Russia's goal in Ukraine can be achieved through special military actions or negotiations. There are still no negotiations on Ukraine. 7. Belarusian President Lukashenko: There are about 30 locations in Belarus where hazel missiles can be deployed. The response to the invasion will be immediate, including the use of nuclear weapons.AI can solve partial differential equations thousands of times faster than before, and partial differential equations play an important role in engineering and science. In a recent study, scientists from Johns Hopkins University in the United States have developed a new artificial intelligence (AI) model called "Differential Mapping Operator Learning" (DIMON), which can solve complex partial differential equations on personal computers, thousands of times faster than before, and is expected to "show its talents" in the fields of aerospace, automobiles and medicine. Related papers were published in the journal Nature Computational Science published on the 9th. (Science and Technology Daily)